Unleashing the Potential: Global Trade in Green Hydrogen by 2050
Key Ideas
- IRENA's analysis explores global trade potential for green hydrogen and related commodities by 2050 under different scenarios.
- Countries with abundant renewable energy resources like in Latin America and Africa emerge as major exporters in one scenario.
- Another scenario focuses on country-specific financial risks, shifting trade dynamics and emphasizing the importance of stable policies and international cooperation.
- Investments of USD 2.49 trillion by 2050 are needed to build the green hydrogen economy, with renewable energy generation being the largest focus.
The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) has conducted an in-depth analysis on the techno-economic potential for global trade in green hydrogen and related commodities by 2050. The study evaluates potential trade flows using cost-optimization models under two main scenarios. The 'Same Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Scenario' highlights the competitiveness drivers like resource quality and proximity to demand centers. Meanwhile, the 'Differentiated WACC Scenario' shifts trade dynamics based on country-specific financial risks and costs of capital. The analysis projects that around 53 million tonnes of hydrogen equivalent per year will be traded globally by 2050, with hydrogen-based commodities dominating the trade due to better transport economics.
The report emphasizes the need for significant investments of USD 2.49 trillion by 2050, primarily directed towards developing 4.7 terawatts of renewable energy capacity, 2.1 terawatts of electrolysers, and 0.9 terawatt-hours of battery storage. The largest share of investment will be in renewable energy generation, followed by electrolysers and conversion plants. Furthermore, stable policies, certification schemes, and international cooperation are highlighted as crucial factors for realizing the full potential of green hydrogen trade. The study envisions green hydrogen trade as a pathway to achieving decarbonization goals, enhancing energy security, and fostering economic growth, especially in developing nations. By identifying strategic trade partners and investment priorities, the analysis aims to support a just and inclusive global energy transition.
Topics
Middle East
Policy
Renewable Energy
Sustainability
Investment
Energy Transition
International Cooperation
Economic Analysis
Global Trade
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