India's Evolving Monsoon Forecasting and Waste Management Challenges
Key Ideas
  • The IMD predicts an 'above normal' monsoon for 2025, showcasing advancements in forecasting models like MMCFS and MME.
  • Historical evolution from early forecasting methods to modern dynamic models has significantly improved accuracy.
  • Challenges include model biases, weak teleconnections, and the need for AI integration and high-resolution modeling for better predictions.
  • India faces a waste management crisis, highlighted by being named the world's largest plastic polluter, emphasizing the urgent need for effective waste remediation measures.
The article discusses the evolution of monsoon forecasting in India, with the IMD predicting an 'above normal' monsoon for 2025 at 105% of the Long Period Average (LPA). It delves into the history of weather forecasting in India, from the establishment of IMD in 1875 to the introduction of modern dynamic models like MMCFS and MME in 2012 and 2021, respectively. The advancements have improved the accuracy of monsoon predictions, addressing challenges like model biases, weak teleconnections, and the need for integrating AI and high-resolution modeling. The article emphasizes the importance of global collaboration and upgrading observational systems for reliable forecasting. On waste management, the article highlights India's waste crisis, as a new global study names India the world's largest plastic polluter. Despite official estimates suggesting lower plastic waste generation, the reality is far higher at 0.54 kg/day per capita. The Supreme Court's intervention in the Vellore tanneries case sets a template for enforcing waste remediation and environmental justice through continuing mandamus. The article underscores the urgency of effective waste management practices to mitigate environmental degradation and pollution. It calls for concerted efforts to address the waste crisis and emphasizes the significance of sustainable waste management for a cleaner and healthier environment.
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